Friday, February 12, 2016

Information Resolution and Certainty

A scientific finding is only as good and as certain as the resolution of it's concepts. High information concepts come from physics, and low information concepts come from the social sciences (which are not science but journalism in a scientific format). A concept such as E=MC2 makes a claim and testable prediction about much of the universe, incredible amounts of information. A concept like 'public trust' is a journalistic concept and no amount of studies increase the certainty of such a journalistic concept far beyond the certainty of politics and gossip.

As an example, compare two conceptual constructs, one used by grown-ups and one used by children. A scientist may study and E=MC2 and try to test it. A child may study the concept "I am a stupid face," to find out if he is a stupid face as some have claimed. E=MC2 has a high information resolution. It can be made more certain through studies directly tied to it and study and observation indirectly related and theoretically linked to it. However, you can do thousands of studies on "I am a stupid face," and certainty will never greatly increase because it was conceptualized on a low-resolution, low-information, childish level. Social science, and sometimes psychological, and psychometric (IQ) are similar. The compounding of data gives a false sense of increasing certainty when the terms used are of too low a resolution and too childish a construction to rise above the level of gossip, and of polling, and questionnaire, which are not science.

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